Pollcast
Forecast
Senate
House
Gubernatorial
2026 Senate Forecast
chance of a Democratic majority
—
— expected seats
chance of a Republican majority
—
— expected seats
Senate control
Since Vice President JD Vance breaks ties in the Senate, Democrats must get to at least 51 seats to win a majority.
Forecasted Senate Map
Tossup
Safe D/R
Forecasted seat flip
No race in 2026
Seat Outcome Probabilities
State detail
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Forecast over time
State
Party
Est. margin
Rating